Ducati goings on. Part 2.

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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Thu Jan 19, 2012 7:27 am

motor wrote:Loris Capirossi won 3 races in 2006, second only to Rossi. He finished 3rd in the WC, just 23 points behind Hayden and some 18 behind Rossi. That's after a severe injury and missing several races. He had a very realistic chance of being the 2006 world champ if not for the Catalunya incident. And then of course, there's that Valencia ride by Bayliss. Personally I believe that was more Bridgestone than Ducati, though. But still.



A totally fair point. Personally, I am near completely certain the Capirossi would have taken the title if not for the accident. However, I'm also nearly certain that the closeness of that contest was, in large part, a result of a weak grid and Rossi having a hell of a time getting the Yamaha to work.

This is total supposition on my part but I believe that had Rossi been up against the same field in 2011 that he was in 2006 we wouldn't be fretting over the state of the Ducati because Rossi would have looked a lot more like a contender.
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Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Gustav O on Thu Jan 19, 2012 7:31 am

RatsMC wrote:
I do not believe that twinspar frame offers any more familiarity for Burgess than any other frame. Take a careful look at the Rossi era Yamaha. in 2006 when the bike was suffering from serious chatter problems, Burgess was completely at a loss while waiting for Furusawa to find a solution. Something weird was affecting his adjustments and he was unable to work around them - a similar situation to what he faces with the Ducati.

I don't think Burgess was completely at a loss in 2006. The bike had serious design flaws that could not be adjusted out - they could not work around them. They needed a better frame without this flaw.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby motor on Thu Jan 19, 2012 7:40 am

Was 2006 a weaker grid, I'm not sure...yeah I think I understand what you mean, maybe by looking at individual riders and their paces and mentally summing up it all. But numbers wise, looking at the different race winners in 2006 - capirossi, rossi, hayden, pedrosa, melandi, bayliss, heck elias...we've never seen anything like that since then, not to mention close dogfight races like mugello, sachsenring, sepang etc. If anything it was more difficult to win a race back then cos everybody and his uncle would be on your tail all race. I still remember Rossi making a mistake at Mugello, and bang goes 4-5 riders straight past him

But I'm not really disagreeing cos neither can I shake off a feeling that it was a weak grid back then, thought I haven't the faintest clue what makes me think that!
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Thu Jan 19, 2012 7:43 am

Gustav O wrote:I don't think Burgess was completely at a loss in 2006. The bike had serious design flaws that could not be adjusted out - they could not work around them. They needed a better frame without this flaw.



I think you just said what I meant to but without being as confusing. Clearly, the bike wasn't a complete disaster and Burgess did as well as he could with it but there was an issue that he couldn't overcome. I'm taking this from memory but I believe it was at Le Mans where in a pre-race interview JB looked more uncertain than I have ever seen him - even in 2011.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Oscar on Thu Jan 19, 2012 7:51 am

Gustav O wrote:I don't think Burgess was completely at a loss in 2006. The bike had serious design flaws that could not be adjusted out - they could not work around them. They needed a better frame without this flaw.


And that needs to be taken into account when assessing the 'legend' status of the Rossi/J.B team, at every level. It is not intellectually rigorous to lay every success at their feet and blame every failure on other factors - nor is it any more valid to use the same set of selective appreciation of the nature of a development team effort but 180-degrees reversed at the feet of other riders (and yes, I am talking Lorenzo and Stoner here). Geese and sauce applies.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby TwoStroke Institute on Thu Jan 19, 2012 10:21 am

Rossi said in the lastest AMCN that "Maybe we tell them the wrong things to do"
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Cam D on Thu Jan 19, 2012 10:29 am

Oscar wrote:
Gustav O wrote:I don't think Burgess was completely at a loss in 2006. The bike had serious design flaws that could not be adjusted out - they could not work around them. They needed a better frame without this flaw.


And that needs to be taken into account when assessing the 'legend' status of the Rossi/J.B team, at every level. It is not intellectually rigorous to lay every success at their feet and blame every failure on other factors - nor is it any more valid to use the same set of selective appreciation of the nature of a development team effort but 180-degrees reversed at the feet of other riders (and yes, I am talking Lorenzo and Stoner here). Geese and sauce applies.


Geese and sauce? Haven't heard that one.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Thu Jan 19, 2012 10:38 am

Cam D wrote:
Geese and sauce? Haven't heard that one.



Goose, gander? Both are good with sauce? Us Yanks usually say good with but I think our neanderthal brethren overseas seem to saw good on.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Oscar on Thu Jan 19, 2012 10:51 am

RatsMC wrote:Goose, gander? Both are good with sauce? Us Yanks usually say good with but I think our neanderthal brethren overseas seem to saw good on.


As in, the same sauce applies to both. And hey, you have kindly-disposed spirits overseas, we don't think of all Americans as neanderthal, just Republican candidates and TV god-botherers. Oh, and Richard Nixon (RINP), Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Tourn46 on Fri Jan 20, 2012 2:59 pm

3 Day shakedown in Jerez and we're still non-the-wiser. I guess we really will have to wait until Sepang.

I saw that Abraham has said some stuff on the specs of the GP12 (or specifically the specs are most likely for the modified "GPZero" in his case)... but I am of the opinion that the information there is meaningless until we see it against the other machines.

I'm still very intrigued!
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Hansd on Fri Jan 20, 2012 4:11 pm

Tourn46 wrote:3 Day shakedown in Jerez and we're still non-the-wiser. I guess we really will have to wait until Sepang.

Little over 1 week, and then hopefully we get some real info. Meanwhile we can only guess:
If 90% of the bike is new, does that mean a new engine? or the same engine with a different V-angle.
What is the unchanged 10% - the CF rear or the fairing?
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby JanBros on Fri Jan 20, 2012 5:05 pm

Oscar wrote:Dick Cheney


don't you mean dick Cheney :?:
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Cam D on Fri Jan 20, 2012 11:16 pm

Some specs from Cardion AB http://www.twowheelsblog.com/post/8779/ ... 12#continu
Technical data of Ducati Desmosedici GP12
Engine
Water-cooled four-stroke engine with four cylinders and four valves per cylinder which are controlled by desmodromic valve system. The cylinders are formed in an angle of 90 degrees.

Capacity: 999 ccm
Electronics: Magneti Marelli

Gearbox
Six-speed, with the possibility to adjust the ratio of degrees.

Clutch: Dry, multi-plate
Chain: Regina

Chassis
Ducati aluminium frame
Fronf fork: Öhlins with a diameter of 48 mm
Rear suspension: Öhlins
Brakes: front four-piston Brembo calipers, 2x disc Brembo with a diameter of 320 mm, rear two-piston Brembo caliper, Brembo steel disc
Discs: 16,5“ magnesium Marchesini
Tyres: Bridgestone

Fuel tank: 21 litres
Fuel: Eni
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby motogpmd on Sat Jan 21, 2012 12:49 am

motor wrote:Was 2006 a weaker grid, I'm not sure...yeah I think I understand what you mean, maybe by looking at individual riders and their paces and mentally summing up it all. But numbers wise, looking at the different race winners in 2006 - capirossi, rossi, hayden, pedrosa, melandi, bayliss, heck elias...we've never seen anything like that since then, not to mention close dogfight races like mugello, sachsenring, sepang etc. If anything it was more difficult to win a race back then cos everybody and his uncle would be on your tail all race. I still remember Rossi making a mistake at Mugello, and bang goes 4-5 riders straight past him

But I'm not really disagreeing cos neither can I shake off a feeling that it was a weak grid back then, thought I haven't the faintest clue what makes me think that!


Stoner and Pedrosa were rookies, Stoner was on a satellite bike with Michelin off the shelf tires, and there was no Lorenzo. So yes, clearly a much weaker grid in 2006. As it had been ever since the retirement of Schwantz over a decade earlier. In the current era, when there are four such strong riders, and there is at least one alien in every factory team, it is statistically inevitable that the four will win most of the races. 800cc, electronics, tires or anything else are much lesser factors than the strength of those four riders.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby motor on Sat Jan 21, 2012 4:07 am

Thanks motogpmd. Respect your opinion while disagreeing with certain points/assumptions, but don't want to take the thread too off-topic.

Cardion AB should have supplied a torque curve as well while at it :D
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Sat Jan 21, 2012 5:39 am

motor wrote:Was 2006 a weaker grid, I'm not sure...yeah I think I understand what you mean, maybe by looking at individual riders and their paces and mentally summing up it all. But numbers wise, looking at the different race winners in 2006 - capirossi, rossi, hayden, pedrosa, melandi, bayliss, heck elias...we've never seen anything like that since then, not to mention close dogfight races like mugello, sachsenring, sepang etc. If anything it was more difficult to win a race back then cos everybody and his uncle would be on your tail all race. I still remember Rossi making a mistake at Mugello, and bang goes 4-5 riders straight past him

But I'm not really disagreeing cos neither can I shake off a feeling that it was a weak grid back then, thought I haven't the faintest clue what makes me think that!


2006 was some of the best racing MotoGP has ever seen. However, when you look at the fortunes of all the race winners once Pedrosa, Lorenzo and Stoner got up to speed, it is fairly clear that they are not in the same class as the current top riders. Rossi himself has said that he now has to ride at 100% all the time in order to be competitive.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby Cam D on Sat Jan 21, 2012 5:43 am

motor wrote:Cardion AB should have supplied a torque curve as well while at it :D


Bit of extra grunt though... "last year’s 800cc bike produced 235hp and this year’s (2012) will have a 999cc engine that will produce 250hp with a top speed of 360 km/h"
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Sat Jan 21, 2012 5:46 am

As Krop pointed out on the main page, the extra displacement supplies better torque and even if the extra capacity requires them to run leaner on the top, the additional torque is worth the sacrifice.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby TwoStroke Institute on Sat Jan 21, 2012 3:41 pm

(insert big note myself name dropping spiel here)
When I asked Karel at the GP what his impressions of the Ducati was he just said 'I love it, it's really a great bike '
:lol:
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby e-esQue on Sun Jan 22, 2012 7:41 pm

Interesting points about the relative strengths and weaknesses of the field in 2006 and last year. Personally I feel if anything the field was stronger in it's wideness in '06 and the top was about the same, maybe a hair stronger last year. Basically we had Capi, Melandri and Hayden at the top of their game, pretty similar level Dani (less experience and a bit less overall skill but a lot more confidence and less injuries coming from the back of 3 WCs), a much better Rossi of course, slightly worse Stoner who really came into his own at the end of '05, was maybe 99,4% of the rider he's now, and other threats such as peak Elias and almost peak-Edwards. Now we have in addition Lorenzo (who, as much as it pains to say this, is probably the best atm) and Dovi, who I rate clearly below Capi and Dovi, as I do Spies.

The story of 2006 was mainly Yamaka dropping the ball through the first Qtr of the season and Rossi having terrible luck (Shanghai, Le Mans, Jerez) which put him on the defensive throughout the season. Of course he has to take the final blame from Assen and Valencia. It really was a perfect storm that was needed to take his title away in '06 considering 2004 and 2005 were probably the best seasons in decades in this sport; it pains to say this very much considering my serious dislike for the man himself.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby motogpmd on Sun Jan 22, 2012 8:16 pm

e-esQue wrote:Interesting points about the relative strengths and weaknesses of the field in 2006 and last year. Personally I feel if anything the field was stronger in it's wideness in '06 and the top was about the same, maybe a hair stronger last year. Basically we had Capi, Melandri and Hayden at the top of their game, pretty similar level Dani (less experience and a bit less overall skill but a lot more confidence and less injuries coming from the back of 3 WCs), a much better Rossi of course, slightly worse Stoner who really came into his own at the end of '05, was maybe 99,4% of the rider he's now, and other threats such as peak Elias and almost peak-Edwards. Now we have in addition Lorenzo (who, as much as it pains to say this, is probably the best atm) and Dovi, who I rate clearly below Capi and Dovi, as I do Spies.

The story of 2006 was mainly Yamaka dropping the ball through the first Qtr of the season and Rossi having terrible luck (Shanghai, Le Mans, Jerez) which put him on the defensive throughout the season. Of course he has to take the final blame from Assen and Valencia. It really was a perfect storm that was needed to take his title away in '06 considering 2004 and 2005 were probably the best seasons in decades in this sport; it pains to say this very much considering my serious dislike for the man himself.


So you rate Capirossi, Melandri and Hayden in 2006 at the same level as Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa now? If so, I strongly disagree with you on that! Stoner basically destroyed the MotoGP careers of Capirossi and Melandri in 2007 and 2008, just one year and two years after 2006. Those two didn't suddenly lose their abilities in a year or so. Capirossi, Melandri, Hayden and Dovisioso are/were good riders at a similar level, but not great. There is just one MotoGP crown between them, and even then Hayden barely scraped in after Rossi and Yamaha had a bad year for reasons you mention. Edwards has never won a single MotoGP race, despite spending a couple of seasons on the works Yamaha, and Elias won just a single race. BTW Stoner started in MotoGP in 2006, so he wasn't racing in 2005, as you seem to be saying. Dani was also a rookie in 2006. Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa are the first riders ever to be able to consistently challenge and beat Rossi over a number of seasons. In short, 2006 had one alien, 2011 had four (although Rossi wasn't a factor for reasons that we all know). So 2011 had a much stronger top three than 2006.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby lebowski on Sun Jan 22, 2012 11:50 pm

TwoStroke Institute wrote:(insert big note myself name dropping spiel here)
When I asked Karel at the GP what his impressions of the Ducati was he just said 'I love it, it's really a great bike '
:lol:


Love it. He didn't have the luxury of demanding wholesale changes and just got on with the job at hand (I'm not being critical of others here, merely an observation). He was clearly willing to push and good luck to him. I admit to being a little disappointed he missed rookie of the year. Got to say though, if I was him I'd have been pushing dad to pay big bucks to Honda for a bike this year!

Will be very interesting to see his performance when compared to the factory Duc's as it should provide a real benchmark as to whether they are moving in the right direction. Karel will clearly ring the neck of whatever bike he is given.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby e-esQue on Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:31 am

motogpmd wrote: So you rate Capirossi, Melandri and Hayden in 2006 at the same level as Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa now? If so, I strongly disagree with you on that! Stoner basically destroyed the MotoGP careers of Capirossi and Melandri in 2007 and 2008, just one year and two years after 2006. Those two didn't suddenly lose their abilities in a year or so. Capirossi, Melandri, Hayden and Dovisioso are/were good riders at a similar level, but not great. There is just one MotoGP crown between them, and even then Hayden barely scraped in after Rossi and Yamaha had a bad year for reasons you mention. Edwards has never won a single MotoGP race, despite spending a couple of seasons on the works Yamaha, and Elias won just a single race. BTW Stoner started in MotoGP in 2006, so he wasn't racing in 2005, as you seem to be saying. Dani was also a rookie in 2006. Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa are the first riders ever to be able to consistently challenge and beat Rossi over a number of seasons. In short, 2006 had one alien, 2011 had four (although Rossi wasn't a factor for reasons that we all know). So 2011 had a much stronger top three than 2006.


Certainly watching Capirossi in Brno 2006 and then in the following year one has to say he didn't have the same confidence in riding. I tend look at the riders' performance in a certain year within a context, how well their equipment suited them in that year. In 2006 Capirossi was certainly in the current Alien-level, without the crash in Catalunya he would have very likely won the title with a bike not the match of Honda. Melandri not quite as good, but I said Dani was about the same level and Casy ,6 % below his current, but hindered by his equipment and inability to adjust to the Michelins. Rossi of course was far far superior rider than he is today.

I never said Stoner was in Motogp in '05, but that he caught up with Dani in the 250 battle towards the end of the season before crashing from the lead in PI. Also meant Dani was a 3-time reigning champ of the lower classes coming iin (125 in '03 and 250 the following years), which gave him great confidence in '06. Did I remember smth wrong?
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby RatsMC on Mon Jan 23, 2012 1:56 am

e-esQue wrote: Rossi of course was far far superior rider than he is today.



I don't think there is any evidence to support this conclusion nor is there any reason to believe it is so.
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Re: Ducati goings on. Part 2.

Postby motogpmd on Mon Jan 23, 2012 5:50 am

e-esQue wrote:
motogpmd wrote: So you rate Capirossi, Melandri and Hayden in 2006 at the same level as Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa now? If so, I strongly disagree with you on that! Stoner basically destroyed the MotoGP careers of Capirossi and Melandri in 2007 and 2008, just one year and two years after 2006. Those two didn't suddenly lose their abilities in a year or so. Capirossi, Melandri, Hayden and Dovisioso are/were good riders at a similar level, but not great. There is just one MotoGP crown between them, and even then Hayden barely scraped in after Rossi and Yamaha had a bad year for reasons you mention. Edwards has never won a single MotoGP race, despite spending a couple of seasons on the works Yamaha, and Elias won just a single race. BTW Stoner started in MotoGP in 2006, so he wasn't racing in 2005, as you seem to be saying. Dani was also a rookie in 2006. Stoner, Lorenzo and Pedrosa are the first riders ever to be able to consistently challenge and beat Rossi over a number of seasons. In short, 2006 had one alien, 2011 had four (although Rossi wasn't a factor for reasons that we all know). So 2011 had a much stronger top three than 2006.


Certainly watching Capirossi in Brno 2006 and then in the following year one has to say he didn't have the same confidence in riding. I tend look at the riders' performance in a certain year within a context, how well their equipment suited them in that year. In 2006 Capirossi was certainly in the current Alien-level, without the crash in Catalunya he would have very likely won the title with a bike not the match of Honda. Melandri not quite as good, but I said Dani was about the same level and Casy ,6 % below his current, but hindered by his equipment and inability to adjust to the Michelins. Rossi of course was far far superior rider than he is today.

I never said Stoner was in Motogp in '05, but that he caught up with Dani in the 250 battle towards the end of the season before crashing from the lead in PI. Also meant Dani was a 3-time reigning champ of the lower classes coming iin (125 in '03 and 250 the following years), which gave him great confidence in '06. Did I remember smth wrong?


Capirossi has never been an alien, sorry. Just imagine what Stoner could have achieved on that 990 Ducati. Pedrosa and Stoner were both rookies in 2006. What Pedrosa achieved in 250s is irrelevant to MotoGP, history will tell you that. So many very successful championship winning 250 riders failed in MotoGP (in the sense of not winning a MotoGP championship), e.g. Capirossi, Melandri, Biaggi and others if you go back in history. Also, even the best riders struggle in their rookie years on MotoGP, even Rossi struggled at first, and he had the best of everything. And Stoner didn't have an inability to adapt to Michelins, he was forced to use Michelin's slower standard off-the-shelf tires, while the works riders like Rossi had the Michelin specials. Stoner was just pushing too hard trying to make up the performance gap in his tires, a rookie mistake, but understandable for a guy with so much self-belief.

There is no evidence whatever that Rossi is a lesser rider today than in 2006. I cannot understand why anyone thinks that one of the greatest riders now in his early thirties is suddenly a lesser rider than six years ago. He should be at the height of his powers as a rider. He did "ok" in 2008 and 2009, and was still winning races in 2010, despite injuries. He didn't suddenly lose it in 2011. Rossi's current problem, by his own admission, is that he needs a strong front end, something the Ducati most definitely hasn't had. Rossi was frank enough to admit that he knew after just three laps on the Ducati at Valencia in 2010 that he was in deep trouble. Every rider has limits and at Ducati Rossi found his. That doesn't make him a lesser rider now, just human, a great rider still, a rider who believes he can still mix it with Stoner and Lorenzo on the right bike, a rider with his great strengths still intact, but a rider with certain weaknesses exposed by Ducati. But some fans want to believe that Rossi is somehow a lesser rider than he was, instead of accepting that even great riders have weaknesses, something that Agostini recently acknowledged, when he compared himself and his style of riding to Rossi, while he compared Stoner's ability to ride anything fast to Hailwood.
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