Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Gustav O on Fri Mar 16, 2012 12:36 am

gco0307 wrote:Can I play too :lol:

An interesting discussion would now be , what is inferior machinery and how does one define it?

Given that we have one rider achieve good results (so therefore the bike cannot be inferior :D ) but have that rider's team-mate achieve poor results on teh same bike (remembering that if one achieves good results, then the bike cannot be inferior) does it then fall taht the second rider is inferior?

Throwing it out there for fun and discussion

Very interesting thoughts and question - guess it will go a little like.
Is!
Isn´t!
Is!
Isn´t!
Is!
Isn´t!

Seriously though it is very hard to tell what is what when arguing bikes we willnever rie and if we did we would be so far from even remotely being able to get it close to it´s limits. Of course bikes jus like riders, have strenghts/weakneses that work better or worse with various riders. I have no clue, but the Ducati was not inferiro in 2007. :lol: ;)
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby motomania on Fri Mar 16, 2012 7:40 pm

Nachlauf wrote:
Albert wrote:Oh dear! :shock:

So no-one remembers Gibernau, Biaggi, Melandri, Hayden, Capirossi, Tamada, Pedrosa, Stoner, Lorenzo, Dovizioso ---------

Nice try. But you had to intentionally misquote me for this one. Grahluk was comparing 04 and 07. Now I bet you 99% of today's MotoGP followers would need to check history books to find out who was actually competing back in 04. Yet all of them know who the main rivals were in 07.

Really, so all MotoGP fans (or nearly all according to you) must be pretty damn young not to remember back past the old times before '04? I've got news for you, there's more than a few of us on here that remember the riders back way past '04 or '94 or '84 or . . . Probably back past the time when you were in diapers. I think you don't really realize just who the real followers of MotoGP are, I'd venture to guess that there's more over 30 years old than under.

Please show me where you were misquoted here? It's exactly what you wrote!!

Albert wrote:
Nachlauf wrote:Well, the difference is, that Stoner won it against Rossi while Rossi won it against drivers nobody even remembers today. That in itself didn't mean much.


Oh dear! :shock:

So no-one remembers Gibernau, Biaggi, Melandri, Hayden, Capirossi, Tamada, Pedrosa, Stoner, Lorenzo, Dovizioso --------- Image

--------- Okay --------- take Tamada out of the equation! :lol:


It's a good thing that Rossi got lucky and has been gifted 9 championships. Obviously he had absolutely nothing to do with winning them, it was all about DORNA and MotoGP just handing out world titles to whoever they wanted.

Sure glad this topic is here.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby MPA on Fri Mar 16, 2012 8:36 pm

I had a whole spreadsheet made up for a reply a few days ago that included DNFs & Podium % but trashed it.

Over their entire careers and whether you include Rossi's two 500cc seasons or not, %wise Rossi wins more and DNF's less than Stoner. Rossi's '01-'05 performance was incredible - 81 races, 51 wins, 15 Seconds, 5 Thirds, 5 DNFs - and what gives him his overall advantage.

Rossi w/ 500s: 39.9%
Rossi w/out 500s: 39.8%

Rossi w/ 500s, w/out 01-05: 23.9%
Rossi w/out 500s, w/out 02-05: 25.7%
Stoner: 33%



If you onlly look at '06 - '11 when both riders were active, Stoner wins more often but still DNFs more often.
Rossi: 30.1%
Stoner: 33%


For Fun:
If Rossi doesn't win this year and Stoner wins 5 races:
Rossi w/ 500: 36.6%
Rossi w/out 500: 35.9%

Stoner: 32.2%


If Rossi doesn't win this year and Stoner wins 10 races:
Rossi w/ 500: 36.6%
Rossi w/out 500: 35.9%

Stoner: 36.4%



I just like the statistics of things :)
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby chc-pr on Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:39 pm

MPA wrote:I had a whole spreadsheet made up for a reply a few days ago that included DNFs & Podium % but trashed it.

Over their entire careers and whether you include Rossi's two 500cc seasons or not, %wise Rossi wins more and DNF's less than Stoner. Rossi's '01-'05 performance was incredible - 81 races, 51 wins, 15 Seconds, 5 Thirds, 5 DNFs - and what gives him his overall advantage.

Rossi w/ 500s: 39.9%
Rossi w/out 500s: 39.8%

Rossi w/ 500s, w/out 01-05: 23.9%
Rossi w/out 500s, w/out 02-05: 25.7%
Stoner: 33%



If you onlly look at '06 - '11 when both riders were active, Stoner wins more often but still DNFs more often.
Rossi: 30.1%
Stoner: 33%


For Fun:
If Rossi doesn't win this year and Stoner wins 5 races:
Rossi w/ 500: 36.6%
Rossi w/out 500: 35.9%

Stoner: 32.2%


If Rossi doesn't win this year and Stoner wins 10 races:
Rossi w/ 500: 36.6%
Rossi w/out 500: 35.9%

Stoner: 36.4%



I just like the statistics of things :)


Which brings us right back to where we came in and the relative strength of competition, quality of equipment ....

The only way I think we will get any sort of resonable reference is to do a normalisation exercise like we did about a year ago. That proved to be a reasonably close predictor of this last season - much better than people thought. We could probably refine the metric in some way to take account of the team-mate quality. Perhaps using cumulative time differences x by points gained divided by end of season position. Then the higher the number the bigger the difference between riders on similar equipment. As we all know, the person you most need to beat is your team-mate
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Grahluk on Sat Mar 17, 2012 12:54 am

Nachlauf wrote:
Grahluk wrote:Don't drag me into this. I got no dog in this fight. I was trying NOT to compare 04 and 07.

Yet you did. I wasn't arguing your point though. I was merely adding the "different level of competition" card here. It feels kind of awkward, that I have to point this out explicitly. I thought this was pretty obvious. Is it really that hard to read between the lines I post? :?:


Yet I didn't. My whole point which I thought was made rather explicitly is that you can't compare the two champions' seasons looking for some sort of "who's was the more heroic". The closest I came to this angle of the RossivStoner dogfight was saying "Both were on bikes new to them. Both were on bikes that had little to no success in previous years."

I was just listening to the Soupkast Aug 30 2011 "Stone. Alone" episode. Starting at about 4:10 Stoner pretty blankly disavows people comparing riders' statistics saying there are just too many variables. Of course he's talking about himself and probably other people in the paddock and press but the sentiment extends pretty far.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Grahluk on Sat Mar 17, 2012 1:28 am

Maybe this is better for the Ducati goings on but In that same Soupkast episode with Stoner mentioned in my previous post Stoner mentions both his preference for bike/setup (rear weight bias) and opinion on frame design materials (didn't like the steel, saw little difference in CF vs Steel). In stating what he prefers from a bike is in direct opposition to what Rossi has stated he needs most for his strengths. Stoner "I'd say I generally prefer a balance to rear...A bike that's quite front heavy and tends to pitches a little too much on the front I don't feel comfortable." The Duc has never seemed anyone's particular cup of tea (even Stoner's by his results on a Honda) but is it possible the known rear wheel weight bias of the Ducati was less a hinderance to Stoner than the character the european riders' styles would emphasize?

Another nugget in the debate/conspiracy of inferior machinery. Was watching some of the 2006 season races lately. The Ducati did not look like that bad a bike in comparison. Poles, front row starts, lap records, and wins by more than one rider. Three to be exact and Bayliss had a pretty smashing victory for jumping on a bike at the end of the season as a fill in rider. I wouldn't call a bike that allows for that a crap bike especially pre Stoner. Not a Honda or Yamaha but not a Cagiva or Aprilia either.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby MPA on Sat Mar 17, 2012 1:43 am

chc-pr wrote:
Which brings us right back to where we came in and the relative strength of competition, quality of equipment ....

The only way I think we will get any sort of resonable reference is to do a normalisation exercise like we did about a year ago. That proved to be a reasonably close predictor of this last season - much better than people thought. We could probably refine the metric in some way to take account of the team-mate quality. Perhaps using cumulative time differences x by points gained divided by end of season position. Then the higher the number the bigger the difference between riders on similar equipment. As we all know, the person you most need to beat is your team-mate


I'd be interesting in seeing that
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby motogpmd on Sat Mar 17, 2012 7:00 am

Grahluk wrote:Another nugget in the debate/conspiracy of inferior machinery. Was watching some of the 2006 season races lately. The Ducati did not look like that bad a bike in comparison. Poles, front row starts, lap records, and wins by more than one rider. Three to be exact and Bayliss had a pretty smashing victory for jumping on a bike at the end of the season as a fill in rider. I wouldn't call a bike that allows for that a crap bike especially pre Stoner. Not a Honda or Yamaha but not a Cagiva or Aprilia either.

The 2007 bikes, all of them, were very different from the 990s of 2006. The 2006 Ducati was clearly a very competitive bike, but that surely has no relevance at all to the 2007 800 version.

The question mark and mystery with the 800 Ducati is that it remained, for its entire life, a one rider bike. Capirossi was a contender for the championship in 2006 and finished third, just 22 points behind Hayden, but finished 7th in 2007, 201 points behind Stoner. Many people expected Melandri to be competitive with Stoner in 2008 and even beat him, but Melandri at Ducati was a complete disaster, and it basically finished his MotoGP career.

Still, it is curious how this discussion has gone from Stoner winning in 2007 on the best bike, to Stoner winning in 2007 on inferior machinery. The 2007 Ducati was surely not an inferior machine, just different and difficult to master. I don't know of any genuinely inferior bike winning the world championship.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby yzr750 on Sat Mar 17, 2012 9:56 am

motogpmd wrote:
Grahluk wrote: I don't know of any genuinely inferior bike winning the world championship.


I would say Geoff Duke's Norton single in 1951 was vastly inferior to the 4cyl Gilera of the time ;)
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby motogpmd on Sat Mar 17, 2012 11:25 am

yzr750 wrote:
motogpmd wrote:
Grahluk wrote: I don't know of any genuinely inferior bike winning the world championship.


I would say Geoff Duke's Norton single in 1951 was vastly inferior to the 4cyl Gilera of the time ;)

Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.
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Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby tom on Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:00 pm

I think Rossi's first Yamaha was inferior to the Honda of that year.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby TwoStroke Institute on Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:42 pm

motogpmd wrote:Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.

Lawson on the 89 NSR500. Rainey on the Yamaha's he won title on. Kenny Roberts Jnr on the RGV500. But by far any away te best example of a rider with inferior machinery was Jorge Lorenzo with his Derbi 125 in 2000 and something was about 6HP down and he had to ride that over the limit every lap of every GP.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby motogpmd on Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:03 pm

TwoStroke Institute wrote:
motogpmd wrote:Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.

Lawson on the 89 NSR500. Rainey on the Yamaha's he won title on. Kenny Roberts Jnr on the RGV500. But by far any away te best example of a rider with inferior machinery was Jorge Lorenzo with his Derbi 125 in 2000 and something was about 6HP down and he had to ride that over the limit every lap of every GP.

I don't agree with you regarding Lawson, Rainey or Roberts Jnr. Those were all competitive machines in my view. I can't honestly recall anyone calling them inferior. Might as well add Schwantz's Suzuki. And Rossi's 2004 Yamaha. And Stoner's 2007 Ducati. So we are back were we started. But now this becomes an argument about semantics: what does inferior equipment mean? How do we define it? Not sure I want to go down this path, it'll just be another endless debate, because there is no objective measure of a bike's track performance, independent of the rider.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Japhrodisiac on Sat Mar 17, 2012 5:06 pm

TwoStroke Institute wrote:
motogpmd wrote:Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.

Lawson on the 89 NSR500. Rainey on the Yamaha's he won title on. Kenny Roberts Jnr on the RGV500. But by far any away te best example of a rider with inferior machinery was Jorge Lorenzo with his Derbi 125 in 2000 and something was about 6HP down and he had to ride that over the limit every lap of every GP.


I think that was 2002-2004? Jorge won one race in '03 and a couple in '04 on that bike. In 2000 and 2001, Youichi Ui rode the Derbi. IMO that was one of the most beautiful little racebikes ever

http://www.2-takt.net/000angol/20bikes/ ... i%2001.jpg
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby TwoStroke Institute on Sun Mar 18, 2012 3:01 am

motogpmd wrote:
TwoStroke Institute wrote:
motogpmd wrote:Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.

Lawson on the 89 NSR500. Rainey on the Yamaha's he won title on. Kenny Roberts Jnr on the RGV500. But by far any away te best example of a rider with inferior machinery was Jorge Lorenzo with his Derbi 125 in 2000 and something was about 6HP down and he had to ride that over the limit every lap of every GP.

I don't agree with you regarding Lawson, Rainey or Roberts Jnr. Those were all competitive machines in my view. I can't honestly recall anyone calling them inferior. Might as well add Schwantz's Suzuki. And Rossi's 2004 Yamaha. And Stoner's 2007 Ducati. So we are back were we started. But now this becomes an argument about semantics: what does inferior equipment mean? How do we define it? Not sure I want to go down this path, it'll just be another endless debate, because there is no objective measure of a bike's track performance, independent of the rider.


Why not take Lawson's opinion he thought the 89 NSR was a death trap, all of Rainey's bikes made Wayne ride way to hard which eventualy led to his career ending crash. Robert's 2000 RGV 500 was way down on HP just had good handling.
The other example of inferior bikes was Kocinski's YZR250 that was considerably down on HP compared to Honda and Aprilia opposition, would have been nowhere but for Little John's riding.
That defines a shitter if the bike goes nowhere when some othe accomplished rider jumps on it.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Japhrodisiac on Sun Mar 18, 2012 6:51 am

motogpmd wrote:
TwoStroke Institute wrote:
motogpmd wrote:Ok, anything in the modern professional era? Not saying there isn't examples, I just don't know of any. Certainly not in the last 30 years.

Lawson on the 89 NSR500. Rainey on the Yamaha's he won title on. Kenny Roberts Jnr on the RGV500. But by far any away te best example of a rider with inferior machinery was Jorge Lorenzo with his Derbi 125 in 2000 and something was about 6HP down and he had to ride that over the limit every lap of every GP.

I don't agree with you regarding Lawson, Rainey or Roberts Jnr. Those were all competitive machines in my view. I can't honestly recall anyone calling them inferior. Might as well add Schwantz's Suzuki. And Rossi's 2004 Yamaha. And Stoner's 2007 Ducati. So we are back were we started. But now this becomes an argument about semantics: what does inferior equipment mean? How do we define it? Not sure I want to go down this path, it'll just be another endless debate, because there is no objective measure of a bike's track performance, independent of the rider.


It was well known and reported at the time (including by Eddie himself as mentioned) that the '89 NSR was beyond a handful. Erv Kanemoto still rates that Championship as a high point in his career to this day.

Rainey's team secretly switched to a ROC chassis to get the bike to handle better, and it was always down on power to the Hondas, Wayne was just one of those guys who never gave up. It's hard to quantify how good or bad the bike was, but to switch to another supplier's chassis seems to indicate it was pretty bad.

KRJR's bike handled well, but was slower than any of the competing factories' bikes - he won on consistency a la Hayden '06.

Rossi's efforts on the '04 Yamaha are the stuff of legend, though likely some of that at least comes from the assumption that it was close to as bad as the '03 bike was, which is debatable.

Stoner did ok on the '07 Duke, but it was hardly the underdog that season!

Nonetheless, these achievements are necessarily weighed against the failures of the other riders.
What we witnessed last year was a rider and machine in perfect symmetry, complimenting each other and showcasing each other's strengths. What always occurs is that these events happen in relation to the situations of the other riders at the time. For me, it is both the extent of this symmetry and it's inverse relation to the (attempt to quantify) problems of the other riders that makes this interesting. I personally hate the debate, but have to admit that the exercise is worthwhile because we are really trying to understand the nature of success.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby sir_nj on Mon Mar 19, 2012 1:13 am

Japhrodisiac wrote:What we witnessed last year was a rider and machine in perfect symmetry, complimenting each other and showcasing each other's strengths.


while I can't disagree with that I must admit it was probably amplified slightly by the absence of any serious competition from Rossi and even further amplified by the fact that the reason Rossi was so uncompetitive was that he was on the bike Stoner left (initially at least).

I wonder if this will be Casey's curse, never allowed to be examined/praised without reference or comparison to Rossi. Still, if that's the case I think he would have to be happy with any comparisons coming out of last year :lol:
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby sir_nj on Mon Mar 19, 2012 1:23 am

Japhrodisiac wrote:KRJR's bike handled well, but was slower than any of the competing factories' bikes - he won on consistency a la Hayden '06.



For me KRJrs championship was a masterful display of making hay while the sun shone and I really felt the bike was only doing what it did because of sheer will power from the rider. So, yes he won on consistency but I think he made the bike punch well above its weight and he did so consistantly.

Not to diss Nicky in any way but he has never looked like becoming an alien but in 06 had a few breaks go his way which put him in contention. Where I thought he shone perhaps more brightly than I have seen any other rider was that from half way through the season he was under continous pressure from every angle (including within his own team and manufacturer) but he just stood up to it and kept getting the best result he was capable of and in doing that he reversed the table so that in the end it was the master who cracked. Quite phenominal really.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby tom on Mon Mar 19, 2012 3:10 am

I found the question of what was the best bike in 2007 very interesting and ended up plugging all the seasons races onto excel. The duke and Suzuki were the stand outs. To my way of thinking the Suzuki package was the best on the grid or Hopper and Vermulin were close to the aliens but there wasn't much in it. The Yamaha certainly comes out looking ordinary.

Image
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Cam D on Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:24 am

sir_nj wrote:
Japhrodisiac wrote: half way through the season he was under continous pressure from every angle (including within his own team and manufacturer) but he just stood up to it and kept getting the best result he was capable of and in doing that he reversed the table so that in the end it was the master who cracked. Quite phenominal really.


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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby chc-pr on Mon Mar 19, 2012 10:00 am

tom wrote:I found the question of what was the best bike in 2007 very interesting and ended up plugging all the seasons races onto excel. The duke and Suzuki were the stand outs. To my way of thinking the Suzuki package was the best on the grid or Hopper and Vermulin were close to the aliens but there wasn't much in it. The Yamaha certainly comes out looking ordinary.


Very interesting, but without seeing who the riders are (I can't be bothered looking them up) I am not too sure it is quite that straight forward. For example - it opens the Q of whether say Edwards was as good as Capirossi at that time - bearing in mind that Cappi would possibly have been WC had it not been for his teammate the year before. Don't worry, I'm not going there :)

All that said, I do think this shows that the Yam that year was probably weaker than was usual. Who were you taking as Aliens? I am not sure Pedro was yet really in that category at that time and Stoner was still very much in his learning phase - so should he also be excluded? That would make the Ducati look very strong indeed (but perhaps he should given it is because of him that we are having this debate at all). Remember all the 'playstation kid' jibes?

In a few weeks I'll have some time and try to come up with a more standardised metric and work it out along the lines of what I suggested earlier. I know it will be far from perfect but I think it could hopefully be a better less skewed result.

Whatever, I think this thread has conclusively proved we are fortunate to be witnessing one of the really Golden Ages of premier class racers battling each other. It has also proved conclusively the futility of comparing riders out of their time. If we can't agree on the measures to compare riders actually competing against each other in or around their peaks, how on earth can anyone even think that comparing across eras is even remotely relevant.

In a sense, I feel this thread has been cathartic - it has allowed the Rossi Vs Stoner debate to run its course and become more 'normal'. I've personaly enjoyed it.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Tourn46 on Mon Mar 19, 2012 10:09 am

tom wrote:I found the question of what was the best bike in 2007 very interesting and ended up plugging all the seasons races onto excel. The duke and Suzuki were the stand outs. To my way of thinking the Suzuki package was the best on the grid or Hopper and Vermulin were close to the aliens but there wasn't much in it. The Yamaha certainly comes out looking ordinary.


Tom, interesting stuff...

I don't think the Suzuki was the "best" package in your statistics... both factory machines (both with decent riders) are included in the "Non-Alien" category whereas Ducati, Honda and Yamaha all have their number 1 rider removed and have sattelite bikes. Not that it could be proven, but I would imagine that if Suzuki did have any sattelite bikes out there, it would drag their points per non-alien down by alot...
For the very same reason the Kawasaki looks better than the Yamaha and I really couldn't agree with that at all!

I would say the number of sattelite bikes does make the Honda look worse than it was... but I think going by this table alone... Ducati > Honda > Yamaha in 2007.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Tourn46 on Mon Mar 19, 2012 10:11 am

chc-pr wrote:In a sense, I feel this thread has been cathartic - it has allowed the Rossi Vs Stoner debate to run its course and become more 'normal'. I've personaly enjoyed it.


Definitely, the fact it was just absolute taboo just caused friction and panic if anyone said something negative about either of them.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby motogpmd on Mon Mar 19, 2012 1:26 pm

sir_nj wrote:I wonder if this will be Casey's curse, never allowed to be examined/praised without reference or comparison to Rossi. Still, if that's the case I think he would have to be happy with any comparisons coming out of last year :lol:


Really not a curse at all: for Stoner to have such a great record having competed against Rossi for his entire MotoGP career to date surely establishes unequivocally that Stoner is an exceptional talent. Being compared favorably to Rossi is surely about as good an accolade as a rider can receive. No-one can ever say that Stoner won against weaker competition. I'd say rather that it is Rossi's curse that Stoner, Pedroa and Lorenzo arrived on the scene and took some of the shine off Rossi's reputation. If Rossi had gone to F1 at the end of say 2008 or 2009 we wouldn't be having this discussion.
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Re: Stoner VS Rossi, the never ending debate

Postby Rossifumi on Mon Mar 19, 2012 4:32 pm

chc-pr wrote:
Very interesting, but without seeing who the riders are (I can't be bothered looking them up) I am not too sure it is quite that straight forward. For example - it opens the Q of whether say Edwards was as good as Capirossi at that time


once you start to try and factor in this kind of thing it becomes completely subjective. You will be able to get whatever answer you want to get.
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