2012 MotoGP Prediction Contest Round 2 - Jerez

[RatsMC]

Gran Premio bwin de España


This is the second round of the season.



The Set Up:

Everyone is welcome to play and help out! If you don't understand everything, just ask.

How it works: All players are welcome to make predictions on anything related to a race weekend, such as results, rider placement, practice results, crashes, Dorna announcements or rule-making shenanigans, Jeremy Burgess appearing in pit lane in pink footy pajamas – anything as long as the results will be determined by the day after the race (Monday except in the case of Assen).

As the predictions are made, I will record them over at MotoTheory. Once the predictions are recorded, all players can bet for or against that prediction.

In addition to making predictions and betting for or against them, players can also bet on who they believe the race winner will be. These bets can be placed on the same page as the prediction bets.

Each player is given 100 points at the start of each round (race). These 100 points can be placed on any prediction or race winner. You can put them all on a single prediction or put one point on all of them, however you want.

Each prediction has odds associated with it. These odds are determined by how much is bet for or against the prediction. If a lot of players bet for one prediction while not many bet against it, the odds will be much higher on the against side. This means that the players who bet against the prediction will win more if the prediction turns out not to be true. Typically though, lower odds bets are more likely to pay off.

In addition, we are now tracking which player made each prediction and how much action there is on each prediction. At the end of each round the prediction that generated the most activity and the player who made that prediction will be the winner of this round of the Predictor’s Cup. Right now, the Predictor’s Cup is just about bragging rights but we are working on prizes.


Once the race is over, the outcome for each prediction will be determined. Each player wins points for every prediction they bet correctly on. Additionally, there is a bonus of up to 75 points for accuracy. If all of your bets were correct you win the additional 75 point bonus. If you only picked half of your bets correctly you will receive just half of the bonus (37.5 points)

Once the outcomes have been calculated, the results will be posted in this topic.

To make things a little more interesting, prizes will be awarded throughout the season. The season is broken into several sections that each contains several races. At the final race within each section, the player who scored the highest overall will receive a prize such as a MotoMatters calendar or mug or sometimes something really cool brought back from David Emmett’s race coverage travels.



For new players, you can find the complete instructions here: http://www.mototheory.com/motogp-prediction-contest/prediction-contest-instructions.


When posting new predictions please use this format:

NEW Prediction

Rider X will finish 2 laps down - xx points


Where xx points is the amount you want to bet. Note, the statement is in bold. Please back up your prediction with a starting bet. This helps players when deciding whether to bet against you and helps to ensure your bet will be challenged.

Also, please do not put a . at the end of your prediction. I have to copy/paste them into the system and the period makes that more difficult.

Finally, when placing your predictions, please look through the Guidelines for how prediction outcomes will be determined.

[clifford-jr]

NEW Prediction

Nicky Hayden will finish the Jerez race in a higher position than Valentino Rossi

10 points for

clifford-jr

[clifford-jr]

NEW Prediction

Jorge Lorenzo will be in pole position for the Jerez race

10 points for

clifford-jr

[Squidpuppet]

NEW PREDICTION

Rossi 7th or worse (includes DNF) 10 points


*Not a slam.

[eddahenry]

NEW PREDICTION
Casey stoner trifecta Pole , Win , Standup wheelie 20 points for

[Nachlauf]

new predictions:

Ellison wont qualify last on the grid - 15 points
Edwards will be first CRT rider to the flag - 15 points
Bradl beats all Ducatis - 15 points

[clifford-jr]

newbie questions \ looking at the player stats - all players - 2012 season. i presume the leader is joki3in1 with 199.16 points.

1. is that correct and

2. how do you get that column (or any of those columns) to sort in order???

thanks,
clifford-jr

[RatsMC]

I'm not sure what chart you are talking about. Can you post this link to the page?

[clifford-jr]

I'm not sure what chart you are talking about. Can you post this link to the page?

http://www.mototheory.com/all-players-stats

the page above was resubmitted with the year of 2012 \ submit

[Faster1]

~new~

Bautista bests Bradl ........... 10 RTPTS
Crutchlow bests Dovi........... 10 RTPTS
At least 2 DNFs ................. 10 RTPTS

[Squidpuppet]

Bradl beats all Ducatis - 15 points

Myyyyy goooodness. Bold.

[RatsMC]

I'm not sure what chart you are talking about. Can you post this link to the page?

http://www.mototheory.com/all-players-stats

the page above was resubmitted with the year of 2012 \ submit

I totally forgot about that query. The results it is showing are screwy. I'll need to take a look at it to determine why. As for sorting, it seems that the presentation component is in disagreement with the database component about whether the data is text of numeric. I'll see what I can do about that as well.

Added:

I found the problem but it will take a lot of work to fix. I'll try to get to it reasonably soon but the bug in the code fixes itself as more rounds are added so, within two rounds it should work normally so, I'm not terribly motivated.



Added pt. 2:

I've turned everything on so you can bet now

[RatsMC]

Ignore my previous post. I fixed the query and it was fairly easy once I thought about it.

I still haven't fixed the sorting thing but I'll work on that tomorrow.

BTW, I have a win ratio of 4.3

[OZintheDesert]

Rats,

Not able to post a bet on the moto theory site. Have tried in FF and IE and iPhone. Do I have to re-register for this years contest?

[ieism]

We need more bold predictions, so I had a few beers and decided to put my points where my mouth is:

NEW Predictions
Luthi wins Moto2, and Redding finishes higher than Marquez. - 25 points

Bradl beats Crutchlow in the race - 25 points

Pedrosa does something stupid and loses two positions before the first corner - 10 points

[Squidpuppet]

When trying to select the actual prediction to make a bet, I get "Error on page"

[RatsMC]

All fixed. Sorry about that.

[Japhrodisiac]

New prediction
Edwards will beat (at least) 1 satellite bike
20 points

[RatsMC]

Pedrosa does something stupid and loses two positions before the first corner - 10 points

Just to make determining the outcome of this simple, I will not judge whether the move was stupid, simply whether Pedrosa lost 2 positions which resulted from his own actions.

Fair?

[ieism]

Fair, but can I still call him stupid after the race?

[RatsMC]

I think any unforced error could be called stupid, I just don't want the outcome argued because varying sympathies can't agree upon the definition of stupid

[eddahenry]

my bet didnt make the cut

[Cam D]

Ben Spies finishes the race in the top 3 - 10 points for

[Squidpuppet]

Pedrosa does something stupid and loses two positions before the first corner - 10 points

Just to make determining the outcome of this simple, I will not judge whether the move was stupid, simply whether Pedrosa lost 2 positions which resulted from his own actions.

Fair?

I'd like clarification on "loses two positions" please.

I assume it means, for example, he qualifies 2nd, and enters the first turn in 4th?

[MPA]

my bet didnt make the cut

Rats probably just missed it - the only ones I've seen not allowed are bets based on the betting or completely crazy stuff.